Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.237177 0.273901 0.314229 0.361776 0.416276 0.476773 0.549001
2024-10-27 0.176952 0.223970 0.280271 0.352553 0.442799 0.551673 0.692926
2024-11-03 0.143927 0.198029 0.268104 0.365272 0.496281 0.666552 0.904444
2024-11-10 0.119675 0.177874 0.258913 0.379524 0.553974 0.796602 1.159134
2024-11-17 0.097162 0.155215 0.241692 0.379134 0.591271 0.905307 1.404367
2024-11-24 0.079584 0.135995 0.225473 0.376628 0.624369 1.012801 1.666033
2024-12-01 0.066311 0.120684 0.212134 0.375637 0.658952 1.127357 1.957224
2024-12-08 0.056281 0.108665 0.201735 0.377178 0.697327 1.253295 2.286906
2024-12-15 0.049270 0.100542 0.196422 0.386300 0.749841 1.410558 2.694797
2024-12-22 0.042165 0.090731 0.186111 0.384098 0.780897 1.533866 3.060372
2024-12-29 0.037526 0.084871 0.182212 0.393349 0.834900 1.707059 3.545578
2025-01-05 0.032296 0.076672 0.172065 0.387988 0.858526 1.824582 3.939029
2025-01-12 0.028735 0.071541 0.167664 0.394493 0.909035 2.005900 4.495824
2025-01-19 0.024467 0.063879 0.156311 0.383649 0.920271 2.107532 4.901459
2025-01-26 0.022370 0.061046 0.155495 0.396895 0.988089 2.341786 5.634911
2025-02-02 0.020613 0.058708 0.155432 0.411955 1.062783 2.602834 6.470088
2025-02-09 0.018275 0.054322 0.149471 0.411276 1.099236 2.781077 7.139121
2025-02-16 0.016163 0.050093 0.143111 0.408393 1.129670 2.949551 7.810836
2025-02-23 0.014406 0.046495 0.137757 0.407207 1.164334 3.133688 8.550310
2025-03-02 0.012976 0.043557 0.133674 0.408798 1.206777 3.344016 9.389743
2025-03-09 0.011981 0.041756 0.132523 0.418609 1.273777 3.628667 10.469652
2025-03-16 0.010735 0.038855 0.127549 0.416195 1.305477 3.823266 11.334427
2025-03-23 0.009964 0.037379 0.126674 0.426171 1.375467 4.134139 12.571454